Fog in August: Winter 2020-21 Forecast

I’m a bit late in posting my annual Fog in August report, on November 1st. But, this past week, we had temperatures in the 70’s, even up to 82F. Our part of the Appalachian Mountains should be in the 40’s, maybe 50’s, with at least frost, if not a hard freeze by now. Some years, we have had upward of a foot and a half of snow by now. But, the day before Halloween, we harvested two bushels of tomatoes, a bit less of peppers, and enough squash to last us a couple of weeks. We are not even up to harvesting root crops or winter squash yet. Maybe this week.

So, I crawl out from under my rock, where I have been hiding from the missles and missives of election year politics for a little prognosticating on something other than speculative election returns.

For those who do not know what Fog is August is about, the old timers in the mountains have various ways of predicting winter storms, specifically snow events. For every foggy day in August, we should have a snow storm. The last couple of years, the temperature has been too warm for snow, but we have had equivalent, if not excessive, number of rain events.

For the Lost River Valley area, we had 9 days with light fog (could see through it), 9 days of moderate fog (could see either the bottom or top of the mountains along the valley, but not both), and 5 days of heavy fog (could see neither the bottom or top of the mountains). That adds up to 23 days with fog, or 23 snow storms.

But, given that it was in the 70’s, even up to 82F this week… just sayin’

About hermitsdoor

Up here in the mountains, we have a saying, "You can't get there from here", which really means "We wouldn't go the trouble to do that". Another concept is that "If you don't know, we ain't telling." For the rest, you'll have to read between the lines.
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1 Response to Fog in August: Winter 2020-21 Forecast

  1. Keep us posted! That’s a lot of fog.

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