Winter Forcast, 2015-16

P1030891The Autumnal Equinox passed us last week.  During that week, we have had overcast to rainy sky every day.  Four inches of rain fell one day, then three more a couple of days later.  Mist kept us inside for most of the weekend.  Fall may be here, but Winter will be following quickly.  Watch the garden, birds, and critters to see the forecast.

P1030897As to this year’s “Fog In August” tally, for this region of the Appalachian Mountains, we had 4 days with Heavy Fog, 4 days with Moderate Fog, and 6 days with light fog.  By last year’s standards, they foretells of 8 major snow storms, plus a lot of little dustings along the way.  Our local almanack, The Hagerstown Town and Country Almanack, calls for 5 Heavy Snow Storms, 8 Snow Storms, and 9 Light or Lake-Effect Snows.  Given that their predictions include snow in the northern or southern parts of our region (Mid-Atlantic), and we are in the middle, we might be on the southern or northern edges of some of those storms.  That suggests that 8 snow storms is pretty well on track.

P1030213As to when the cold weather systems will knock on our door, the almanack calls for snow the first week of November.  However, most of the farmers around here have been calling for an early and hard winter.  I noticed a number of signs starting in July.  I found pumpkins ready to harvest the last week of July.  That should be in September.  Then I noticed birds (probably Starlings) flocking in mid-August.  That should be in October.  Then the yellow-jacket nests all went dormant in last August.  They should be eating our raspberries in October.  Similarly, our sunflowers set seed-heads in August, rather than September.  The birds did not hesitate to fill up on the seeds.  And, the black-gum and dogwood trees turned red in August, rather than October.


Well, the sure sign of early winter, this Hermit had 6 cords of wood stacked… in August.  Time to put the garden to rest.


About hermitsdoor

Up here in the mountains, we have a saying, "You can't get there from here", which really means "We wouldn't go the trouble to do that". Another concept is that "If you don't know, we ain't telling." For the rest, you'll have to read between the lines.
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12 Responses to Winter Forcast, 2015-16

  1. Barneysday says:

    You wouldn’t want to send some of that rain westward, would you? We can build the Keystone II pipeline, only this time for water instead of tar sands.

  2. Wanda says:

    I too watch what is happening around me when it comes to weather. Since I grew up listening to all my Mothers old wives tales and folk lore about the weather it kinda rubbed off on me. I’m predicting a mild winter here in TN. 🙂

    • hermitsdoor says:

      The almanack which I am using splits Tennessee between the “Lower Midwest” and “Southeast”. Looks like you may get some of the storms that pass south or our area of West Virginia (closer to Harpers Ferry). Or, when we get snow, you may get rain. Always good to have a few winter projects waiting for attention. Thanks for stopping by.

  3. KerryCan says:

    This is all interesting–you do a god job of paying attention to the changes around you! I’ve noticed that the snow geese are here earlier than usual, too.

  4. Mother Suzanne says:

    And the maple trees started to turn yellow a month too soon for a normal year. The apricot tree started to drop leaves in mid-Sept…in spite of being watered by the leaking hot water heater – it also had no fruit this year. And this is all in the heart of Silicon Valley.

    • hermitsdoor says:

      You fog pattern, influenced by the heat of the Central Valley and cool, moist off the Pacific Coast, is certainly different from ours. I’d watch those trees change color.

  5. The Vicar says:

    How many foggy days did you have in August, and does this count as a major winter storm or just a major storm?

  6. We are creeping up to a ferociously high 80 degrees F today, but for the most part, I am still thriving in our usual 70 degrees F every day, all year long. Not even your wonderful descriptions of seasonal change can make me feel I’m missing something. Sigh, the breeze just ruffled the windchime.

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